Stacking players from the same team in event-based sports with direct scoring correlations is a key to successful DFS play. This is true for MLB and NHL and, largely, for NFL as well. If we think of MLB, we want to capture both the player who hits a home run, or scores a goal, and the players who score runs for having been on base at the time, or those who assist on the goal. With heavy variance and limited scoring events per contest, capturing correlated scoring is critical for both MLB and NHL. In NFL play, typically the best path to high scoring outcomes is to pair skill players with their quarterback, allowing access to both ends of a touchdown pass. While this is not quite as mandatory an approach - depending on the nature of your contest selection - it is a recommended tactic and the way that Awesemo approaches NFL DFS lineup construction.
To facilitate our members' ability to build effective lineups utilizing the best stacking options, we provide the Top Stacks Tool for MLB, NHL and NFL. This tool provides a snapshot of the full slate, including the probability of success for the various team stacks (for NHL this is done on a line by line basis) looking for the best possible combinations.
The Top Stacks Tool includes several critical data points, they are:
Top Stack % - the probability that the team or line will be the top stack that day
Top Value % - the probability that the team or line will be the best points per dollar stack of the day
Ownership Share - the projected public popularity of the stack
Leverage - the differential between popularity and probability of success - positively leveraged numbers indicate good opportunities, negatively leveraged numbers indicate teams that are owned more than their likelihood of success.
Looking for the top ranked stacks is a great starting point for using the tool, but it is not the only factor, value and public popularity, as related to probability of success of each team as compared to the others and the field as a whole is critical. The leverage column is an easy way to look for teams in plus situations who are going under-owned by the public, but be sure to relate it to the overall probability of success, a positive leverage score on its own does not necessarily indicate a good play.
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